CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
5-2 | Road
81
GEORGE MASON
PATRIOTSGMU
8-0 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
0%
PATRIOTS
100%
BIG RED
--
PATRIOTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COR -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
COR By 1-7 points
16.9%
COR By 8-14 points
26.2%
GMU By 1-7 points
5.8%
GMU By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
92
CORNELL
George Mason
78
GEORGE MASON
Simulated Score
Cornell
71
CORNELL
George Mason
76
GEORGE MASON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Big Red
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Patriots
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Big Red (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Patriots (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
COR @ GMU
81 - 99
Nov 15, 2023
COR @ GMU
83 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+46.0% more
Cornell: 26.5
vs
George Mason: 14.3
Turnovers (L5)
+35.4% more
Cornell: 15.3
vs
George Mason: 9.9
Steals (L5)
+32.3% more
Cornell: 8.0
vs
George Mason: 5.4
Rebounding (L5)
+9.1% more
Cornell: 38.7
vs
George Mason: 35.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
92.0
81
GMU Score
78.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.9 / 47.4
50.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.3 / 26.5
16.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.2
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.8 / 55.2
56.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 78.5
84.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 38.7
34.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.4 / 8.0
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 15.3
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
GMU
Advantage
23-10-0
(69.7%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
GMU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
GMU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GMU
COR
GMU
COR
ML
55%
18-15
44%
12-15
73%
24-9
63%
17-10
ATS
55%
18-15
59%
16-11
73%
24-9
63%
17-10
TTL
58%
19-14
78%
21-6
100%
33-0
100%
27-0
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