Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Utes @ Golden Bears UTAH @ CAL

UTAH

UTESUTAH

6-2  |  Road

72
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 10:00 PM ET
Haas Pavilion
View Odds Details →

CALIFORNIA

GOLDEN BEARSCAL

6-1  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
100%
📊
GOLDEN BEARS
0%
UTES --
GOLDEN BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALIFORNIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (California)
UtesUTAH (-3.5) 0 Golden BearsCAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utes Cover

46.0%

Golden Bears Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAL)

UTAH By 1-7 points

24.3%

UTAH By 8-14 points

13.7%

CAL By 1-7 points

26.2%

CAL By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
UTAH
39
CALIFORNIA
Simulated Score
70
UTAH
74
CALIFORNIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Bears (+8) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Golden Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.0 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u152.0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 UTAH @ CAL 72 - 79
Mar 2, 2024 CAL @ UTAH 59 - 88
Feb 5, 2023 CAL @ UTAH 46 - 61
Dec 29, 2022 UTAH @ CAL 58 - 43
Feb 19, 2022 UTAH @ CAL 60 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +27.1% more
California: 4.8 vs Utah: 3.8
Steals (L5) +13.9% more
California: 6.4 vs Utah: 5.6
Assists (L5) +9.4% more
California: 15.9 vs Utah: 14.5
Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
California: 48.1% vs Utah: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 38.0 72
CAL Score 39.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.6 / 39.9 39.0 / 29.0
Assists 15.9 / 14.5 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.8 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 45.7 45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 69.5 / 73.0 92.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 34.5 36.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.6 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 13.2 10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
CAL Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
CAL Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAL
UTAH
CAL
UTAH
ML
61% 20-13
56% 18-14
77% 24-7
67% 20-10
ATS
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
78% 25-7
67% 20-10
TTL
70% 23-10
41% 13-19
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 5 hours ago
Oregon Ducks vs. UCLA Bruins: Unbeaten Bruins Invade Autzen as C…
si 2 days, 6 hours ago
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 12 hours ago
John Calipari Clarifies Stance on Player Compensation After Vira…
sportingnews 5 days, 19 hours ago