Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Owls JKST @ KENN

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

1-7  |  Road

73
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
KSU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

6-2  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
OWLS
0%
TIGERS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Kennesaw State)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 OwlsKENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

4.5%

Owls Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENN -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)

JKST By 1-7 points

3.3%

JKST By 8-14 points

0.6%

KENN By 1-7 points

12.2%

KENN By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
63
JACKSON STATE
80
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
68
JACKSON STATE
75
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (-14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 JKST @ KENN 73 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +111.2% more
Kennesaw State: 4.4 vs Jackson State: 2.1
Rebounding (L5) +41.7% more
Kennesaw State: 42.7 vs Jackson State: 30.1
Assists (L5) +29.1% more
Kennesaw State: 13.0 vs Jackson State: 10.1
Steals (L5) +20.2% more
Kennesaw State: 7.8 vs Jackson State: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 63.0 73
KENN Score 80.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 29.7 24.0 / 28.0
Assists 13.0 / 10.1 14.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.4 / 2.1 9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 38.4 40.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 72.1 / 72.7 64.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 42.7 / 30.1 52.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.8 / 6.5 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 14.9 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
94%MONEY6%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
KENN Advantage
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
JKST
KENN
JKST
ML
74% 25-9
77% 24-7
72% 23-9
73% 19-7
ATS
71% 24-10
77% 24-7
73% 24-9
73% 19-7
TTL
56% 19-15
58% 18-13
100% 33-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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