AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
GREEN WAVE
100%
TIGERS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TULN +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)
GRAM By 1-7 points
27.4%
GRAM By 8-14 points
21.6%
TULN By 1-7 points
20.1%
TULN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Grambling
66
GRAMBLING
Tulane
62
TULANE
Simulated Score
Grambling
61
GRAMBLING
Tulane
78
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
GRAM @ TULN
63 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.6% more
Grambling: 8.4
vs
Tulane: 6.6
Turnovers (L5)
+19.6% more
Grambling: 12.7
vs
Tulane: 10.2
Blocks (L5)
+51.3% more
Tulane: 4.0
vs
Grambling: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+37.1% more
Tulane: 13.9
vs
Grambling: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score
66.0
63
TULN Score
62.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 28.5
32.0 / 26.0
Assists
13.9 / 10.1
12.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.6
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 42.9
39.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 74.1
76.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 28.0
30.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.6 / 8.4
12.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 12.7
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -4.0
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
GRAM
TULN
GRAM
ML
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
47%
15-17
68%
17-8
ATS
62%
20-12-1
61%
19-12
47%
15-17
68%
17-8
TTL
55%
18-15
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
25-0