STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
2-7 | Road
65
BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
2-6 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
SKYHAWKS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BRYANT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Bryant)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRY -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRY)
STO By 1-7 points
15.3%
STO By 8-14 points
5.8%
BRY By 1-7 points
26.2%
BRY By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Stonehill
87
STONEHILL
Bryant
94
BRYANT
Simulated Score
Stonehill
72
STONEHILL
Bryant
78
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
STO @ BRY
65 - 77
Nov 21, 2024
BRY @ STO
66 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+72.2% more
Bryant: 7.1
vs
Stonehill: 4.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.9%
Bryant: 78.6%
vs
Stonehill: 61.6%
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Bryant: 13.3
vs
Stonehill: 11.6
Blocks (L5)
+9.5% more
Stonehill: 4.0
vs
Bryant: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STO Score
87.0
65
BRY Score
94.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.8 / 32.9
35.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.3 / 11.6
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.0
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
37.5 / 40.0
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 61.6
59.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 38.3
33.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.1
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 14.2
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
Advantage
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
STO
BRY
STO
ML
70%
21-9
45%
15-18
80%
24-6
70%
23-10
ATS
73%
22-8
39%
13-20
80%
24-6
70%
23-10
TTL
67%
20-10
55%
18-15
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game