Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Pirates UMES @ ECU

MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

HAWKSUMES

4-7  |  Road

56
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Minges Coliseum
View Odds Details →

EAST CAROLINA

PIRATESECU

3-5  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
HAWKS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Maryland Eastern Shore)
HawksUMES (-3.5) 0 PiratesECU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

54.0%

Pirates Cover

46.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UMES -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UMES)

UMES By 1-7 points

26.2%

UMES By 8-14 points

16.9%

ECU By 1-7 points

24.3%

ECU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
77
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
76
EAST CAROLINA
Simulated Score
61
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
76
EAST CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hawks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 UMES @ ECU 56 - 68
Dec 4, 2023 UMES @ ECU 52 - 63
Dec 17, 2019 UMES @ ECU 57 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +44.4% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 15.8 vs East Carolina: 8.8
Blocks (L5) +16.1% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 3.3 vs East Carolina: 2.8
Field Goal % (L5) +11.9%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 47.0% vs East Carolina: 35.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 33.5% vs East Carolina: 29.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UMES Score 77.0 56
ECU Score 76.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.0 / 33.5 47.0 / 24.0
Assists 8.8 / 15.8 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 35.0 / 47.0 47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 76.4 70.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 38.4 28.0 / 22.0
Steals 7.0 / 4.9 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 16.3 / 14.2 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
ECU Advantage
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
ECU
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.5
ECU
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ECU
UMES
ECU
UMES
ML
55% 17-14
66% 21-11
55% 17-14
81% 21-5
ATS
52% 16-15
69% 22-10
55% 17-14
81% 21-5
TTL
61% 19-12
66% 21-11
100% 31-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 13 hours, 24 minutes ago
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
observer_reporter 2 days ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 6 hours ago
Kansas Basketball Secures Melvin Council Jr. for Unprecedented S…
realgm 3 days, 20 hours ago