SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
6-3 | Road
72
NORTH FLORIDA
OSPREYSUNF
2-6 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
OSPREYS
100%
COUGARS
--
OSPREYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
NORTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNF +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNF)
SIUE By 1-7 points
26.2%
SIUE By 8-14 points
25.3%
UNF By 1-7 points
15.3%
UNF By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
SIU Edwardsville
89
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
North Florida
82
NORTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
SIU Edwardsville
71
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
North Florida
76
NORTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ospreys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ospreys (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Ospreys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
SIUE @ UNF
72 - 63
Nov 29, 2024
UNF @ SIUE
78 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.8% more
SIU Edwardsville: 4.6
vs
North Florida: 2.1
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
SIU Edwardsville: 40.6
vs
North Florida: 34.4
Assists (L5)
+44.8% more
North Florida: 18.8
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 13.0
Turnovers (L5)
+40.0% more
North Florida: 13.4
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score
89.0
72
UNF Score
82.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 30.6
33.0 / 32.0
Assists
18.8 / 13.0
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.1 / 4.6
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.2 / 46.7
40.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 69.1
100.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 40.6
30.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.8 / 6.4
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 9.6
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
UNF
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
UNF
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNF
SIUE
UNF
SIUE
ML
69%
22-10
65%
20-11
66%
21-11
60%
18-12
ATS
69%
22-10
55%
17-14
66%
21-11
60%
18-12
TTL
66%
21-11
48%
15-16
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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