Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Sharks WIN @ LIU

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

4-4  |  Road

94
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:30 PM ET
Steinberg Wellness Center
View Odds Details →

LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

SHARKSLIU

4-3  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
SHARKS
100%
EAGLES --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Winthrop)
EaglesWIN (-3.5) 0 SharksLIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

90.3%

Sharks Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)

WIN By 1-7 points

18.6%

WIN By 8-14 points

26.8%

LIU By 1-7 points

6.8%

LIU By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
67
WINTHROP
54
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
78
WINTHROP
65
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 WIN @ LIU 94 - 92
Nov 25, 2024 LIU @ WIN 65 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +43.1% more
Winthrop: 18.1 vs Long Island University: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +19.4% more
Winthrop: 39.5 vs Long Island University: 31.8
Free Throw % (L5) +14.2%
Winthrop: 76.3% vs Long Island University: 62.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Winthrop: 37.1% vs Long Island University: 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIN Score 67.0 94
LIU Score 54.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 37.1 47.0 / 27.0
Assists 10.3 / 18.1 19.0 / 17.0
Blocks 5.2 / 3.4 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 47.9 52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 62.1 / 76.3 80.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 39.5 36.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.8 / 7.2 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 11.2 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN Advantage
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
WIN
LIU
WIN
ML
60% 21-14
70% 23-10
69% 24-11
79% 26-7
ATS
63% 22-13
79% 26-7
69% 24-11
79% 26-7
TTL
60% 21-14
58% 19-14
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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