TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
11-11-3 | Road
4
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
12-11-1 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sergei Bobrovsky
#72 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | None-None | 3.06 | 0.900 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.06
GAA
--
0.900
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
TOR By 1 goal
12.1%
TOR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
FLA By 1 goal
19.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
FLA @ TOR
6 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
TOR @ FLA
1 - 5
Jan 6, 2026
FLA @ TOR
1 - 4
Dec 2, 2025
TOR @ FLA
4 - 1
May 18, 2025
FLA @ TOR
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+36.0% more
Florida: 32.9
vs
Toronto: 24.2
Hits (L5)
+22.3% more
Florida: 27.7
vs
Toronto: 22.7
Takeaways (L5)
+8.4% more
Florida: 5.0
vs
Toronto: 4.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.3% more
Toronto: 17.9
vs
Florida: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
3.0
4
FLA Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.3 / 17.9
11.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
48.6 / 57.3
27.8 / 72.2
Hits
27.7 / 22.7
27.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
589.0 / 1526.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.9 / 24.2
26.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.6
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
TOR
FLA
TOR
ML
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
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