WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
15-9-2 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
12-6-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.960 | -- |
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 2.07 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.07
0.960 Ldr
Save %
0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
0%
KINGS
100%
CAPITALS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WSH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1 goal
17.5%
WSH By 2-3 goals
37.2%
LA By 1 goal
6.6%
LA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Los Angeles
1
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
WSH @ LA
3 - 1
Nov 17, 2025
LA @ WSH
1 - 2
Mar 13, 2025
WSH @ LA
0 - 3
Dec 22, 2024
LA @ WSH
1 - 3
Jan 7, 2024
LA @ WSH
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+26.0% more
Washington: 18.7
vs
Los Angeles: 13.8
Power Play % (L5)
+15.5%
Washington: 22.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 6.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.8%
Los Angeles: 47.7%
vs
Washington: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.0
3
LA Score
1.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 14.5
5.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
47.7 / 43.9
46.9 / 53.1
Hits
13.8 / 18.7
13.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
6.9 / 22.3
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 28.2
25.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 3.4
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
WSH
LA
WSH
ML
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
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