PURDUE
BOILERMAKERSPUR
8-0 | Road
81
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
5-4 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
BOILERMAKERS
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
BOILERMAKERS
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Rutgers)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)
PUR By 1-7 points
1.1%
PUR By 8-14 points
0.1%
RUTG By 1-7 points
5.8%
RUTG By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Purdue
65
PURDUE
Rutgers
87
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Purdue
66
PURDUE
Rutgers
78
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
PUR @ RUTG
81 - 65
Mar 4, 2025
RUTG @ PUR
71 - 100
Jan 9, 2025
PUR @ RUTG
68 - 50
Feb 22, 2024
RUTG @ PUR
68 - 96
Jan 28, 2024
PUR @ RUTG
68 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+12.4% more
Rutgers: 11.6
vs
Purdue: 10.4
Assists (L5)
+52.4% more
Purdue: 22.1
vs
Rutgers: 10.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.4%
Purdue: 45.8%
vs
Rutgers: 31.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+14.3%
Purdue: 55.1%
vs
Rutgers: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PUR Score
65.0
81
RUTG Score
87.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 45.8
47.0 / 38.0
Assists
10.5 / 22.1
12.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.2 / 4.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 55.1
45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 78.9
64.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 40.1
25.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.1 / 5.9
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 10.4
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PUR
Advantage
30-9-0
(76.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PUR
17-22-0
(43.6%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
PUR
RUTG
PUR
ML
53%
18-16
67%
26-13
70%
23-10
66%
25-13
ATS
68%
23-11
64%
25-14
70%
23-10
66%
25-13
TTL
53%
18-16
51%
20-19
100%
33-0
100%
38-0
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
Indiana Hoosiers Fans Invade Rutgers Homecoming as Hoosiers Roll…
Rutgers Basketball Preseason: Standouts and Storylines from Tues…
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class