Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Gamecocks UNA @ JXST

NORTH ALABAMA

LIONSUNA

4-4  |  Road

73
FINAL
Mon, Dec 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Pete Mathews Coliseum
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE STATE

GAMECOCKSJXST

3-4  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
LIONS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Jacksonville State)
LionsUNA (-3.5) 0 GamecocksJXST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

27.4%

Gamecocks Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JXST -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)

UNA By 1-7 points

16.9%

UNA By 8-14 points

6.8%

JXST By 1-7 points

26.8%

JXST By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
NORTH ALABAMA
77
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
71
NORTH ALABAMA
76
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 UNA @ JXST 73 - 66
Nov 18, 2023 JXST @ UNA 59 - 61
Feb 24, 2023 JXST @ UNA 92 - 83
Dec 30, 2022 UNA @ JXST 66 - 62
Feb 26, 2022 UNA @ JXST 52 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +22.8% more
Jacksonville State: 12.8 vs North Alabama: 10.4
Rebounding (L5) +16.3% more
Jacksonville State: 40.2 vs North Alabama: 34.5
Steals (L5) +26.4% more
North Alabama: 8.3 vs Jacksonville State: 6.1
Blocks (L5) +24.5% more
North Alabama: 4.3 vs Jacksonville State: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNA Score 71.0 73
JXST Score 77.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.2 / 32.6 36.0 / 32.0
Assists 12.3 / 11.9 17.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.3 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 36.3 / 46.3 40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 57.8 / 72.0 45.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 34.5 39.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.3 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 10.4 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNA
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
JXST Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNA
10-17-1 (37.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
JXST Advantage
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.4
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
UNA
JXST
UNA
ML
50% 16-16
43% 13-17
55% 17-14
57% 16-12
ATS
62% 20-12
60% 18-12
55% 17-14
57% 16-12
TTL
62% 20-12
63% 19-11
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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