Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gaels @ Blue Hens IONA @ DEL

IONA

GAELSIONA

5-2  |  Road

89
FINAL
Mon, Dec 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Bob Carpenter Center
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

2-4  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
GAELS
0%
📊
BLUE HENS
100%
GAELS --
BLUE HENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Iona)
GaelsIONA (-3.5) 0 Blue HensDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gaels Cover

96.4%

Blue Hens Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IONA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)

IONA By 1-7 points

10.7%

IONA By 8-14 points

21.6%

DEL By 1-7 points

2.7%

DEL By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
79
IONA
61
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
69
IONA
72
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Gaels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hens Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Gaels (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Blue Hens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 IONA @ DEL 89 - 66
Nov 12, 2024 DEL @ IONA 64 - 58
Dec 21, 2021 DEL @ IONA 72 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +43.7% more
Iona: 3.9 vs Delaware: 2.2
Rebounding (L5) +16.3% more
Iona: 40.2 vs Delaware: 33.6
Free Throw % (L5) +7.1%
Iona: 72.7% vs Delaware: 65.6%
Turnovers (L5) +10.0% more
Delaware: 12.9 vs Iona: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IONA Score 79.0 89
DEL Score 61.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.5 / 36.5 30.0 / 46.0
Assists 14.7 / 14.3 17.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.9 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 42.8 45.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 65.6 / 72.7 38.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 40.2 31.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.2 / 6.0 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 11.7 12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IONA Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IONA Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
DEL
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -1.6
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
IONA
DEL
IONA
ML
45% 14-17
41% 13-19
52% 16-15
62% 20-12
ATS
61% 19-12
53% 17-15
52% 16-15
62% 20-12
TTL
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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