PORTLAND
PILOTSPORT
5-3 | Road
72
STANFORD
CARDINALSTAN
6-1 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
PILOTS
100%
CARDINAL
0%
PILOTS
--
CARDINAL
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Stanford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STAN -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)
PORT By 1-7 points
0.0%
PORT By 8-14 points
0.0%
STAN By 1-7 points
0.0%
STAN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
35
PORTLAND
Stanford
107
STANFORD
Simulated Score
Portland
68
PORTLAND
Stanford
75
STANFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinal
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinal
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinal (+19)
Win
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim
Cardinal (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.0
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u156.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 1, 2025
PORT @ STAN
72 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.2% more
Stanford: 3.9
vs
Portland: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+13.4% more
Stanford: 7.2
vs
Portland: 6.3
Turnovers (L5)
+36.5% more
Portland: 15.6
vs
Stanford: 9.9
Assists (L5)
+36.1% more
Portland: 21.8
vs
Stanford: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PORT Score
35.0
72
STAN Score
107.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 36.9
42.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.0 / 21.8
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.9
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 55.2
52.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 73.9
70.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 35.2
31.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.3
11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 15.6
8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PORT
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.2
STAN
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PORT
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.2
STAN
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.0
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STAN
PORT
STAN
PORT
ML
48%
16-17
48%
16-17
50%
16-16
82%
27-6
ATS
48%
16-17
67%
22-11
50%
16-16
82%
28-6
TTL
55%
18-15
55%
18-15
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…