STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
2-6 | Road
62
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
4-3 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
SKYHAWKS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
STO By 1-7 points
0.3%
STO By 8-14 points
0.0%
QUIN By 1-7 points
2.2%
QUIN By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Stonehill
40
STONEHILL
Quinnipiac
67
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Stonehill
65
STONEHILL
Quinnipiac
78
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
STO @ QUIN
62 - 76
Dec 1, 2024
QUIN @ STO
74 - 88
Nov 26, 2023
STO @ QUIN
69 - 80
Nov 10, 2022
QUIN @ STO
102 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+118.6% more
Quinnipiac: 8.0
vs
Stonehill: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+33.1% more
Quinnipiac: 15.7
vs
Stonehill: 11.8
Blocks (L5)
+29.1% more
Quinnipiac: 5.2
vs
Stonehill: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.8%
Quinnipiac: 43.6%
vs
Stonehill: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STO Score
40.0
62
QUIN Score
67.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.6 / 33.8
50.0 / 31.0
Assists
15.7 / 11.8
9.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.0
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 40.5
48.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 67.4
83.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 39.0
29.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.0 / 3.7
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 13.8
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
Advantage
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
STO
QUIN
STO
ML
66%
21-11
45%
15-18
53%
17-15
70%
23-10
ATS
59%
19-13
39%
13-20
53%
17-15
70%
23-10
TTL
62%
20-12
55%
18-15
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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