Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Tigers JOES @ PRIN

SAINT JOSEPH'S

HAWKSJOES

3-3  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 1:00 PM ET
CURE Insurance Arena
View Odds Details →

PRINCETON

TIGERSPRIN

3-6  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
HAWKS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Princeton)
HawksJOES (-3.5) 0 TigersPRIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

11.5%

Tigers Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRIN -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)

JOES By 1-7 points

8.0%

JOES By 8-14 points

2.2%

PRIN By 1-7 points

20.1%

PRIN By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
SAINT JOSEPH'S
66
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
68
SAINT JOSEPH'S
72
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 JOES @ PRIN 60 - 58
Dec 3, 2024 PRIN @ JOES 77 - 69
Dec 10, 2023 PRIN @ JOES 70 - 74
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
Princeton: 35.7% vs Saint Joseph's: 27.8%
Blocks (L5) +85.4% more
Saint Joseph's: 7.2 vs Princeton: 1.1
Rebounding (L5) +30.3% more
Saint Joseph's: 45.2 vs Princeton: 31.5
Assists (L5) +28.8% more
Saint Joseph's: 20.0 vs Princeton: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JOES Score 54.0 60
PRIN Score 66.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 27.8 37.0 / 17.0
Assists 14.2 / 20.0 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.1 / 7.2 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 45.2 42.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 57.2 / 79.0 43.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 45.2 26.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.7 / 6.4 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 14.3 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
PRIN
9-20-0 (31.0%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
PRIN
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -3.3
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
JOES
PRIN
JOES
ML
45% 13-16
51% 18-17
62% 18-11
61% 20-13
ATS
48% 14-15
60% 21-14
62% 18-11
61% 20-13
TTL
72% 21-8
54% 19-16
100% 29-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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