Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Dolphins MONM @ LEM

MONMOUTH

HAWKSMONM

2-3  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 2:00 PM ET
Kirby Sports Center
View Odds Details →

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

2-4  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
📊
DOLPHINS
100%
HAWKS --
DOLPHINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Monmouth)
HawksMONM (-3.5) 0 DolphinsLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

99.9%

Dolphins Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MONM -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)

MONM By 1-7 points

0.6%

MONM By 8-14 points

3.3%

LEM By 1-7 points

0.1%

LEM By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
97
MONMOUTH
65
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
70
MONMOUTH
73
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dolphins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hawks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Dolphins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 MONM @ LEM 79 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.2% more
Monmouth: 6.2 vs Le Moyne: 4.6
Steals (L5) +16.6% more
Monmouth: 6.9 vs Le Moyne: 5.7
Assists (L5) +20.2% more
Le Moyne: 15.6 vs Monmouth: 13.0
Turnovers (L5) +18.9% more
Le Moyne: 13.7 vs Monmouth: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONM Score 97.0 79
LEM Score 65.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 35.9 39.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.6 / 13.0 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.6 / 6.2 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 42.8 53.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 73.0 79.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 38.0 32.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.7 / 6.9 2.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 11.6 14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
LEM
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
LEM
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.1
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
MONM
LEM
MONM
ML
68% 21-10
62% 21-13
68% 21-10
64% 21-12
ATS
65% 20-11
62% 21-13
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
TTL
42% 13-18
59% 20-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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