Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Explorers @ Quakers LAS @ PENN

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

3-5  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 4:30 PM ET
The Palestra
View Odds Details →

PENNSYLVANIA

QUAKERSPENN

5-2  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
0%
📊
QUAKERS
100%
EXPLORERS --
QUAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (La Salle)
ExplorersLAS (-3.5) 0 QuakersPENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Explorers Cover

90.3%

Quakers Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAS -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

LAS By 1-7 points

18.6%

LAS By 8-14 points

26.8%

PENN By 1-7 points

6.8%

PENN By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
90
LA SALLE
77
PENNSYLVANIA
Simulated Score
68
LA SALLE
73
PENNSYLVANIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Explorers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Quakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Explorers (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Quakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 LAS @ PENN 71 - 73
Dec 2, 2023 PENN @ LAS 92 - 93
Dec 3, 2022 LAS @ PENN 84 - 81
Dec 11, 2021 PENN @ LAS 74 - 76
Nov 13, 2019 LAS @ PENN 59 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +23.6% more
La Salle: 7.2 vs Pennsylvania: 5.5
Turnovers (L5) +12.2% more
La Salle: 13.6 vs Pennsylvania: 12.0
Free Throw % (L5) +1.8%
La Salle: 72.0% vs Pennsylvania: 70.2%
Assists (L5) +13.9% more
Pennsylvania: 15.4 vs La Salle: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAS Score 90.0 71
PENN Score 77.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 27.7 50.0 / 26.0
Assists 15.4 / 13.6 13.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.4 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 43.7 50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 72.0 65.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 41.1 / 38.4 31.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.5 / 7.2 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 13.6 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS Advantage
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
PENN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
PENN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
PENN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PENN
LAS
PENN
LAS
ML
53% 16-14
69% 22-10
76% 22-7
69% 22-10
ATS
63% 19-11
78% 25-7
76% 22-7
69% 22-10
TTL
70% 21-9
66% 21-11
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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