BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
10-8 | Road
115
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
10-8 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
CELTICS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
BOS By 1-7 points
1.4%
BOS By 8-14 points
0.2%
MIN By 1-7 points
6.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
75
BOSTON
Minnesota
96
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Boston
112
BOSTON
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u228.0
Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
MIN @ BOS
102 - 92
Nov 29, 2025
BOS @ MIN
115 - 119
Jan 2, 2025
BOS @ MIN
118 - 115
Nov 24, 2024
MIN @ BOS
105 - 107
Jan 10, 2024
MIN @ BOS
120 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+44.1% more
Minnesota: 16.1
vs
Boston: 11.2
Steals (L5)
+27.4% more
Minnesota: 9.2
vs
Boston: 7.2
Blocks (L5)
+21.7% more
Boston: 5.9
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Boston: 79.5%
vs
Minnesota: 71.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
75.0
115
MIN Score
96.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 42.4
44.0 / 35.0
Assists
23.6 / 25.6
31.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.6 / 5.9
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 48.9
49.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 79.5
80.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
46.8 / 43.7
37.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.2
3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 11.2
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
BOS
MIN
BOS
ML
54%
63-53
57%
61-46
54%
50-43
53%
47-41
ATS
58%
67-49
59%
61-43-3
54%
50-43
53%
47-41
TTL
63%
72-43-1
56%
60-47
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…