BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

3-15  |  Road

99
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 8:00 PM ET
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MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

8-12  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
BUCKS
0%
NETS --
BUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Milwaukee)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 BucksMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

2.3%

Bucks Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

BKN By 1-7 points

1.7%

BKN By 8-14 points

0.3%

MIL By 1-7 points

8.0%

MIL By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
105
BROOKLYN
125
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
112
BROOKLYN
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bucks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bucks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bucks (-11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Bucks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o217.5 Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim u217.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 BKN @ MIL 108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026 MIL @ BKN 90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025 MIL @ BKN 82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025 BKN @ MIL 99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025 BKN @ MIL 113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +48.8% more
Milwaukee: 8.4 vs Brooklyn: 5.6
Assists (L5) +16.3% more
Milwaukee: 26.4 vs Brooklyn: 22.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
Milwaukee: 40.3% vs Brooklyn: 32.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
Milwaukee: 47.6% vs Brooklyn: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 105.0 99
MIL Score 125.0 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 32.4 41.0 / 38.0
Assists 26.4 / 22.7 31.0 / 23.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.4 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 42.5 52.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 78.5 71.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 41.0 43.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.4 / 5.6 13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 15.1 14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL Advantage
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4