AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
BUCKS
0%
NETS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
BKN By 1-7 points
1.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
0.3%
MIL By 1-7 points
8.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
105
BROOKLYN
Milwaukee
125
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o217.5
Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
BKN @ MIL
108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026
MIL @ BKN
90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025
MIL @ BKN
82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025
BKN @ MIL
99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025
BKN @ MIL
113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.8% more
Milwaukee: 8.4
vs
Brooklyn: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+16.3% more
Milwaukee: 26.4
vs
Brooklyn: 22.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Milwaukee: 40.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 32.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Milwaukee: 47.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
105.0
99
MIL Score
125.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 32.4
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
26.4 / 22.7
31.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 42.5
52.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 78.5
71.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
38.9 / 41.0
43.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.6
13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 15.1
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
BKN
MIL
BKN
ML
64%
61-35
53%
50-45
60%
49-32
59%
48-34
ATS
68%
65-31
52%
48-44-3
60%
49-32
59%
48-34
TTL
55%
53-43
57%
54-41
100%
81-0
100%
82-0