PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
13-7-3 | Road
5
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
16-7-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Colton White
#45 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 3.00 | 0.906 | -- |
| Colton White | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
--
0.906
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
DEVILS
0%
FLYERS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
PHI @ NJ
2 - 3
Apr 7, 2026
PHI @ NJ
5 - 1
Nov 29, 2025
PHI @ NJ
5 - 3
Nov 22, 2025
NJ @ PHI
3 - 6
Oct 4, 2025
NJ @ PHI
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.3% more
New Jersey: 26.8
vs
Philadelphia: 21.9
Takeaways (L5)
+16.6% more
New Jersey: 5.3
vs
Philadelphia: 4.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.2% more
New Jersey: 16.6
vs
Philadelphia: 14.8
Hits (L5)
+8.6% more
New Jersey: 22.6
vs
Philadelphia: 20.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.0
5
NJ Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.6 / 14.8
7.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
51.9 / 47.7
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
22.6 / 20.8
20.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
17.5 / 17.8
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 21.9
32.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.5
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
PHI
NJ
PHI
ML
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
0%
0-3
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
TTL
0%
0-2-1
20%
1-4
50%
1-1-1
40%
2-3
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