SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
12-10-3 | Road
3
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
10-6-8 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Carl Lindbom
#30 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 4.12 | 0.833 | -- |
| Carl Lindbom | None-None | 3.00 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.12
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.833
Save %
Ldr 0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
SHARKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
VGK @ SJ
7 - 2
Dec 23, 2025
SJ @ VGK
2 - 7
Nov 29, 2025
SJ @ VGK
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2025
VGK @ SJ
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2025
SJ @ VGK
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+30.3% more
Vegas: 32.2
vs
San Jose: 24.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
Vegas: 55.2%
vs
San Jose: 51.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.2% more
San Jose: 16.3
vs
Vegas: 11.2
Takeaways (L5)
+24.3% more
San Jose: 4.5
vs
Vegas: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
3
VGK Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.2 / 16.3
18.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
55.2 / 51.8
61.0 / 39.0
Hits
19.9 / 19.6
6.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
16.7 / 17.6
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
32.2 / 24.8
24.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 4.5
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
SJ
VGK
SJ
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
