WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
3-4 | Road
73
HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
7-1 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
CATAMOUNTS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (High Point)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)
WCU By 1-7 points
1.7%
WCU By 8-14 points
0.3%
HPU By 1-7 points
8.0%
HPU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Carolina
55
WESTERN CAROLINA
High Point
75
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
Western Carolina
73
WESTERN CAROLINA
High Point
76
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
WCU @ HPU
73 - 93
Dec 5, 2023
WCU @ HPU
71 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+61.5% more
High Point: 17.0
vs
Western Carolina: 10.5
Steals (L5)
+56.0% more
High Point: 10.6
vs
Western Carolina: 6.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.2%
High Point: 79.0%
vs
Western Carolina: 68.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
High Point: 51.0%
vs
Western Carolina: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WCU Score
55.0
73
HPU Score
75.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 26.7
48.0 / 32.0
Assists
17.0 / 10.5
12.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.7
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
51.0 / 43.6
57.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 68.8
71.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 39.3
29.0 / 29.0
Steals
10.6 / 6.8
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 14.4
14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
WCU
HPU
WCU
ML
80%
28-7
63%
19-11
80%
28-7
76%
22-7
ATS
71%
25-10
73%
22-8
80%
28-7
77%
23-7
TTL
66%
23-12
67%
20-10
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
