AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
HOOSIERS
0%
WILDCATS
--
HOOSIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)
BCU By 1-7 points
1.4%
BCU By 8-14 points
0.2%
IU By 1-7 points
6.8%
IU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethune-Cookman
53
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Indiana
74
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Bethune-Cookman
60
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Indiana
88
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hoosiers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hoosiers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hoosiers (+28.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Hoosiers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
BCU @ IU
56 - 100
Nov 10, 2022
BCU @ IU
49 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.4% more
Indiana: 3.9
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+51.1% more
Indiana: 17.1
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.3%
Indiana: 72.4%
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 59.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+11.4% more
Indiana: 11.5
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BCU Score
53.0
56
IU Score
74.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 28.9
39.0 / 20.0
Assists
17.1 / 11.3
27.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.6
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 41.8
55.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 59.1
84.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 37.7
43.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.4
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 10.3
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
IU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
IU
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.3
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
BCU
IU
BCU
ML
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
71%
22-9
79%
22-6
ATS
53%
17-15
65%
20-11
71%
22-9
79%
22-6
TTL
56%
18-14
48%
15-16
100%
31-0
100%
28-0