DARTMOUTH

BIG GREENDART

2-3  |  Road

87
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 2:00 PM ET
Yanitelli Center
View Odds Details →

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

2-4  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
0%
📊
PEACOCKS
100%
BIG GREEN --
PEACOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Dartmouth)
Big GreenDART (-3.5) 0 PeacocksSPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Big Green Cover

90.3%

Peacocks Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DART -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)

DART By 1-7 points

18.6%

DART By 8-14 points

26.8%

SPU By 1-7 points

6.8%

SPU By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
80
DARTMOUTH
67
SAINT PETER'S
Simulated Score
65
DARTMOUTH
71
SAINT PETER'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Big Green Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Peacocks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Big Green (-4) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Peacocks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 DART @ SPU 87 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.9% more
Dartmouth: 4.3 vs Saint Peter's: 3.0
Assists (L5) +28.2% more
Dartmouth: 17.7 vs Saint Peter's: 12.7
Rebounding (L5) +25.0% more
Dartmouth: 42.7 vs Saint Peter's: 32.0
Turnovers (L5) +18.5% more
Dartmouth: 14.0 vs Saint Peter's: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DART Score 80.0 87
SPU Score 67.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 34.4 17.0 / 46.0
Assists 12.7 / 17.7 7.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.0 / 4.3 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 37.3 / 44.1 33.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 83.5 / 72.5 88.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 42.7 32.0 / 39.0
Steals 12.9 / 5.6 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 14.0 10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0 (40.7%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.5
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0 (44.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.5
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.5
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2