Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Jaguars MORE @ IUIN

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

3-5  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 2:00 PM ET
The Jungle
View Odds Details →

IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

3-6  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
JAGUARS
0%
EAGLES --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
EaglesMORE (-3.5) 0 JaguarsIUIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.3%

Jaguars Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)

MORE By 1-7 points

0.3%

MORE By 8-14 points

0.0%

IUIN By 1-7 points

2.2%

IUIN By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
58
MOREHEAD STATE
85
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
75
MOREHEAD STATE
62
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaguars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaguars (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Eagles (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u181.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u181.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 MORE @ IUIN 80 - 85
Dec 21, 2021 MORE @ IUIN 80 - 52
Dec 4, 2019 IUIN @ MORE 51 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +45.9% more
IU Indianapolis: 20.2 vs Morehead State: 13.8
Steals (L5) +18.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 8.5 vs Morehead State: 7.2
Blocks (L5) +16.5% more
Morehead State: 3.7 vs IU Indianapolis: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +14.6% more
Morehead State: 40.1 vs IU Indianapolis: 34.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MORE Score 58.0 80
IUIN Score 85.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 36.2 33.0 / 26.0
Assists 20.2 / 13.8 24.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.7 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 46.6 46.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 66.7 / 69.2 78.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 40.1 31.0 / 47.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.2 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 12.9 13.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MORE Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
MORE
IUIN
MORE
ML
69% 22-10
62% 20-12
78% 25-7
68% 21-10
ATS
66% 21-11
59% 19-13
78% 25-7
68% 21-10
TTL
50% 16-16
53% 17-15
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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