Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Ragin' Cajuns JKST @ UL

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

0-6  |  Road

51
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 8:00 PM ET
Cajundome
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

1-6  |  Home

45
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
TIGERS --
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
JACKSON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Jackson State)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 Ragin' CajunsUL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

81.6%

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JKST -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JKST)

JKST By 1-7 points

24.3%

JKST By 8-14 points

26.8%

UL By 1-7 points

12.2%

UL By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
73
JACKSON STATE
64
LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
68
JACKSON STATE
75
LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 JKST @ UL 51 - 45
Nov 27, 2021 JKST @ UL 75 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +41.3% more
Jackson State: 10.6 vs Louisiana: 6.2
Blocks (L5) +27.7% more
Jackson State: 2.6 vs Louisiana: 1.9
Steals (L5) +15.4% more
Jackson State: 5.3 vs Louisiana: 4.4
Turnovers (L5) +8.8% more
Jackson State: 15.8 vs Louisiana: 14.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 73.0 51
UL Score 64.0 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.0 / 32.6 19.0 / 24.0
Assists 6.2 / 10.6 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.9 / 2.6 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 35.2 / 38.7 31.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 69.1 50.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 30.9 / 30.2 40.0 / 30.0
Steals 4.4 / 5.3 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 15.8 16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST Advantage
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
UL Advantage
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UL
JKST
UL
JKST
ML
66% 21-11
77% 24-7
63% 19-11
73% 19-7
ATS
66% 21-11
77% 24-7
63% 19-11
73% 19-7
TTL
62% 20-12
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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