LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
2-4 | Road
76
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
1-5 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
LEOPARDS
0%
DOLPHINS
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
LAFAYETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Lafayette)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAF -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAF)
LEM By 1-7 points
0.1%
LEM By 8-14 points
0.0%
LAF By 1-7 points
1.4%
LAF By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Le Moyne
74
LE MOYNE
Lafayette
103
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Le Moyne
67
LE MOYNE
Lafayette
71
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Leopards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leopards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Leopards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Leopards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
LEM @ LAF
76 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+57.4% more
Lafayette: 7.2
vs
Le Moyne: 4.6
Blocks (L5)
+30.7% more
Le Moyne: 3.4
vs
Lafayette: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+23.7% more
Le Moyne: 16.3
vs
Lafayette: 12.5
Turnovers (L5)
+9.3% more
Le Moyne: 14.6
vs
Lafayette: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEM Score
74.0
76
LAF Score
103.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 40.2
36.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.5 / 16.3
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.4
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
39.9 / 45.6
35.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 74.3
76.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 33.6
29.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.2 / 4.6
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 14.6
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
LAF
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
LEM
LAF
LEM
ML
53%
17-15
68%
21-10
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
ATS
56%
18-14
65%
20-11
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
TTL
50%
16-16
42%
13-18
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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