PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
12-7-3 | Road
4
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
13-9-2 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Matthew Schaefer
#48 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Matthew Schaefer | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
FLYERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
PHI @ NYI
4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026
NYI @ PHI
4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025
PHI @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
NYI @ PHI
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
NYI @ PHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+52.2% more
New York: 34.1
vs
Philadelphia: 22.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.1% more
New York: 15.2
vs
Philadelphia: 13.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.5%
New York: 50.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 48.1%
Hits (L5)
+22.9% more
Philadelphia: 21.2
vs
New York: 16.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.0
4
NYI Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 13.2
11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
50.6 / 48.1
53.1 / 46.9
Hits
16.4 / 21.2
17.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
2.3 / 1.7
20.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
34.1 / 22.4
31.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.8
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
PHI
NYI
PHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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