Home / NHL Projections NHL / Jets @ Hurricanes WPG @ CAR

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

12-10-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 5:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

14-7-2  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Thomas Milic
GOALTENDER

Thomas Milic

#32 | G
@
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Thomas Milic None-None 4.09 0.882 --
Brandon Bussi None-None 1.00 0.923 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.09 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.882 Save % Ldr 0.923
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
JETS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

30.9%

Hurricanes Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

WPG By 1 goal

12.1%

WPG By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CAR By 1 goal

19.7%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
WINNIPEG
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 WPG @ CAR 1 - 5
Nov 21, 2025 CAR @ WPG 4 - 3
Mar 9, 2025 WPG @ CAR 2 - 4
Feb 4, 2025 CAR @ WPG 0 - 3
Mar 2, 2024 WPG @ CAR 5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +67.1% more
Carolina: 5.7 vs Winnipeg: 3.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +31.8% more
Carolina: 34.8 vs Winnipeg: 26.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +41.4% more
Winnipeg: 15.3 vs Carolina: 9.0
Power Play % (L5) +16.8%
Winnipeg: 36.4% vs Carolina: 19.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 3.0 1
CAR Score 4.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.0 / 15.3 14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 49.8 / 52.7 45.3 / 54.7
Hits 19.5 / 18.2 13.0 / 32.0
Power Play % 1963.0 / 3644.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 34.8 / 26.4 35.0 / 13.0
Takeaways 5.7 / 3.4 6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
97%MONEY3%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
WPG
CAR
WPG
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
100% 4-0
TTL
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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