Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Tigers CLE @ MIZ

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

3-6  |  Road

59
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 2:00 PM ET
Mizzou Arena
View Odds Details →

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

8-0  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
VIKINGS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Missouri)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 TigersMIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

27.4%

Tigers Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIZ -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)

CLE By 1-7 points

16.9%

CLE By 8-14 points

6.8%

MIZ By 1-7 points

26.8%

MIZ By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
CLEVELAND STATE
77
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
63
CLEVELAND STATE
78
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 CLE @ MIZ 59 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
Missouri: 55.6% vs Cleveland State: 47.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Missouri: 40.1% vs Cleveland State: 33.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.9%
Missouri: 73.7% vs Cleveland State: 68.8%
Blocks (L5) +30.2% more
Cleveland State: 3.4 vs Missouri: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 71.0 59
MIZ Score 77.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.1 / 33.8 29.0 / 38.0
Assists 17.2 / 16.6 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.4 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 55.6 / 47.7 48.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 68.8 85.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 41.3 / 39.7 47.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.1 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 14.4 16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
MIZ Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
MIZ Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
CLE
MIZ
CLE
ML
61% 20-13
52% 17-16
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
ATS
70% 23-10
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
TTL
79% 26-7
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 2 hours ago
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
aggieswire 4 days, 15 hours ago
John Calipari Clarifies Stance on Player Compensation After Vira…
sportingnews 5 days, 22 hours ago
Kentucky Appeals Court Ruling Shakes Up Eligibility for Mark Mit…
cbssports 6 days, 2 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 8 hours ago