Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pride @ Explorers HOF @ LAS

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

3-3  |  Road

63
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 2:00 PM ET
The Palestra
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

3-4  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
📊
EXPLORERS
100%
PRIDE --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Hofstra)
PrideHOF (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pride Cover

99.5%

Explorers Cover

0.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)

HOF By 1-7 points

2.7%

HOF By 8-14 points

9.3%

LAS By 1-7 points

0.4%

LAS By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
HOFSTRA
57
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
69
HOFSTRA
73
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pride Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Explorers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pride (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Explorers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 HOF @ LAS 63 - 58
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Hofstra: 34.0% vs La Salle: 31.6%
Steals (L5) +19.8% more
La Salle: 7.8 vs Hofstra: 6.5
Turnovers (L5) +19.3% more
La Salle: 13.4 vs Hofstra: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOF Score 83.0 63
LAS Score 57.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.6 / 34.0 20.0 / 35.0
Assists 13.3 / 14.4 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.5 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 45.3 40.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 71.4 75.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 36.7 38.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.8 / 6.5 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 11.3 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
HOF
LAS
HOF
ML
69% 22-10
77% 27-8
69% 22-10
71% 25-10
ATS
78% 25-7
83% 29-6
69% 22-10
71% 25-10
TTL
66% 21-11
51% 18-17
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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