Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Hawks @ Rainbow Warriors UND @ HAW

NORTH DAKOTA

FIGHTING HAWKSUND

3-5  |  Road

55
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 11:59 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

5-2  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING HAWKS
100%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
FIGHTING HAWKS --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Hawai'i)
Fighting HawksUND (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Hawks Cover

5.5%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

UND By 1-7 points

4.0%

UND By 8-14 points

0.8%

HAW By 1-7 points

13.7%

HAW By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
NORTH DAKOTA
87
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
67
NORTH DAKOTA
73
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 UND @ HAW 55 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +119.6% more
Hawai'i: 3.5 vs North Dakota: 1.6
Assists (L5) +40.7% more
Hawai'i: 13.4 vs North Dakota: 9.5
Turnovers (L5) +24.2% more
Hawai'i: 13.9 vs North Dakota: 11.2
Rebounding (L5) +18.7% more
Hawai'i: 41.1 vs North Dakota: 34.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UND Score 71.0 55
HAW Score 87.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.7 / 34.1 25.0 / 20.0
Assists 13.4 / 9.5 20.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.5 / 1.6 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 42.4 58.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 78.8 / 72.9 68.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 41.1 / 34.7 41.0 / 26.0
Steals 4.6 / 9.3 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 11.2 17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UND
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UND Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +1.3
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
UND
HAW
UND
ML
61% 20-13
44% 15-19
68% 21-10
50% 17-17
ATS
67% 22-11
50% 17-17
68% 21-10
50% 17-17
TTL
61% 20-13
65% 22-12
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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