MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
8-11 | Road
109
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
11-6 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
KNICKS
0%
BUCKS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
200.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
MIL By 1-7 points
13.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
4.8%
NY By 1-7 points
25.3%
NY By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
96
MILWAUKEE
New York
104
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
New York
115
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 200.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
NY @ MIL
127 - 98
Nov 28, 2025
MIL @ NY
109 - 118
Oct 28, 2025
NY @ MIL
111 - 121
Mar 28, 2025
NY @ MIL
116 - 107
Jan 12, 2025
MIL @ NY
106 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.6% more
New York: 5.1
vs
Milwaukee: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.1%
New York: 79.5%
vs
Milwaukee: 72.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
New York: 51.9%
vs
Milwaukee: 45.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+11.6% more
Milwaukee: 14.5
vs
New York: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
96.0
109
NY Score
104.0
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 38.4
41.0 / 44.0
Assists
26.9 / 27.6
25.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.3
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.9 / 45.4
45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
79.5 / 72.4
85.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
42.3 / 40.9
44.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 14.5
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
MIL
NY
MIL
ML
61%
114-72
64%
61-35
56%
57-45
60%
49-32
ATS
67%
124-62
68%
65-31
56%
57-45
60%
49-32
TTL
72%
133-53
55%
53-43
100%
102-0
100%
81-0
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