Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Broncos @ Billikens SCU @ SLU

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

6-1  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Nov 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Acrisure Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

6-0  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
📊
BILLIKENS
0%
BRONCOS --
BILLIKENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Saint Louis)
BroncosSCU (-3.5) 0 BillikensSLU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Broncos Cover

1.1%

Billikens Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)

SCU By 1-7 points

0.8%

SCU By 8-14 points

0.1%

SLU By 1-7 points

4.8%

SLU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
66
SANTA CLARA
89
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
72
SANTA CLARA
75
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Billikens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Billikens Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Billikens (-2) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Billikens (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.0 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u159.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 27, 2025 SCU @ SLU 70 - 71
Nov 4, 2024 SLU @ SCU 78 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +73.5% more
Saint Louis: 16.4 vs Santa Clara: 9.5
Free Throw % (L5) +18.6%
Saint Louis: 83.5% vs Santa Clara: 65.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.6%
Saint Louis: 40.4% vs Santa Clara: 29.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
Saint Louis: 52.1% vs Santa Clara: 45.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCU Score 66.0 70
SLU Score 89.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.4 / 29.8 26.0 / 24.0
Assists 16.5 / 19.3 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.8 / 6.2 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 52.1 / 45.4 44.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 83.5 / 65.0 63.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 43.8 / 41.9 37.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.6 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.4 / 9.5 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCU
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
SCU
SLU
SCU
ML
70% 23-10
44% 15-19
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
ATS
73% 24-9
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
74% 23-8
TTL
61% 20-13
47% 16-18
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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