Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinal @ Golden Gophers STAN @ MINN

STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

4-1  |  Road

72
FINAL
Thu, Nov 27 • 9:30 PM ET
Acrisure Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

4-2  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
100%
📊
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
CARDINAL --
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
CardinalSTAN (-3.5) 0 Golden GophersMINN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinal Cover

46.0%

Golden Gophers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MINN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)

STAN By 1-7 points

24.3%

STAN By 8-14 points

13.7%

MINN By 1-7 points

26.2%

MINN By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
STANFORD
39
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
68
STANFORD
73
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Gophers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers (+1) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Golden Gophers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 27, 2025 STAN @ MINN 72 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +16.5% more
Minnesota: 14.2 vs Stanford: 12.2
Blocks (L5) +27.4% more
Stanford: 4.3 vs Minnesota: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +10.8%
Stanford: 72.2% vs Minnesota: 61.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STAN Score 38.0 72
MINN Score 39.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 31.5 45.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.2 / 12.2 13.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 43.2 51.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 61.4 / 72.2 72.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 36.2 25.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.7 / 8.1 1.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.8 14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
MINN
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN Advantage
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
MINN
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
STAN
MINN
STAN
ML
48% 16-17
48% 16-17
71% 22-9
50% 16-16
ATS
55% 18-15
48% 16-17
71% 22-9
50% 16-16
TTL
52% 17-16
55% 18-15
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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