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BYU

COUGARSBYU

5-1  |  Road

72
FINAL
Thu, Nov 27 • 5:00 PM ET
State Farm Field House
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

5-2  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
COUGARS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Miami)
CougarsBYU (-3.5) 0 HurricanesMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

1.1%

Hurricanes Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

BYU By 1-7 points

0.8%

BYU By 8-14 points

0.1%

MIA By 1-7 points

4.8%

MIA By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
53
BYU
76
MIAMI
Simulated Score
70
BYU
74
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 27, 2025 BYU @ MIA 72 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +47.7% more
Miami: 21.6 vs BYU: 14.6
Steals (L5) +40.3% more
Miami: 10.2 vs BYU: 7.3
Blocks (L5) +34.4% more
Miami: 3.3 vs BYU: 2.5
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
Miami: 10.6 vs BYU: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BYU Score 53.0 72
MIA Score 76.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.3 / 35.1 23.0 / 47.0
Assists 21.6 / 14.6 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.5 4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 53.1 / 48.4 38.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 64.2 / 78.8 41.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 40.9 / 39.1 39.0 / 42.0
Steals 10.2 / 7.3 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 9.2 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4% Total +/-: +0.1
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
BYU
MIA
BYU
ML
63% 22-13
60% 21-14
64% 21-12
72% 23-9
ATS
63% 22-13
54% 19-16
64% 21-12
72% 23-9
TTL
63% 22-13
69% 24-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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