NEW YORK
GIANTSNYG
2-10 | Road
15
NEW ENGLAND
PATRIOTSNE
10-2 | Home
33
Key Game
KEY GAME
Deonte Banks
#2 | Cornerback@
KEY GAME
Bryce Baringer
#17 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Deonte Banks | None-None |
| Bryce Baringer | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
PATRIOTS
0%
GIANTS
--
PATRIOTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
63.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW ENGLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New England)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)
NYG By 1-6 points
16.1%
NYG By 7-13 points
14.6%
NE By 1-6 points
16.7%
NE By 7-13 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
31
NEW YORK
New England
32
NEW ENGLAND
Simulated Score
New York
20
NEW YORK
New England
24
NEW ENGLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Patriots
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Patriots
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Patriots (+7)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Patriots (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o46.5
Win
Proj Total: 63.0
D
Sim
u46.5
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 1, 2025
NYG @ NE
15 - 33
Aug 21, 2025
NE @ NYG
10 - 42
Nov 26, 2023
NE @ NYG
7 - 10
Oct 10, 2019
NYG @ NE
14 - 35
Nov 15, 2015
NE @ NYG
27 - 26
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+19.1% more
New York: 1.1
vs
New England: 0.9
Rushing Yards (L5)
+14.0% more
New York: 130.9
vs
New England: 112.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYG Score
31.0
15
NE Score
32.0
33
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.0 / 22.1
21.0 / 14.0
Net Passing Yards
263.7 / 271.3
276.0 / 128.0
Rushing Yards
112.6 / 130.9
119.0 / 111.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.5
0.46 / 0.36
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards
376.3 / 402.2
395.0 / 239.0
Turnovers
0.9 / 1.1
0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
5.9 / 5.8
6.3 / 4.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
NE
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
NE
2-1-1
(66.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.8
NE
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -10.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
NYG
NE
NYG
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
ATS
33%
1-2-1
100%
4-0
33%
1-2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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