Home / NFL Projections NFL / Bears @ Eagles CHI @ PHI

CHICAGO

BEARSCHI

8-3  |  Road

24
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 3:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

8-3  |  Home

15
Key Game
Tory Taylor
KEY GAME

Tory Taylor

#19 | Punter
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Tory Taylor None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
BEARS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Philadelphia)
BearsCHI (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

30.9%

Eagles Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

CHI By 1-6 points

12.9%

CHI By 7-13 points

9.6%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.5%

PHI By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
24
CHICAGO
31
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
17
CHICAGO
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o43.0 Loss
Proj Total: 55.0
D
Sim u43.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 28, 2026 PHI @ CHI 7 - 27
Nov 28, 2025 CHI @ PHI 24 - 15
Dec 18, 2022 PHI @ CHI 25 - 20
Nov 3, 2019 CHI @ PHI 14 - 22
Jan 6, 2019 PHI @ CHI 16 - 15
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +8.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.9 vs Chicago: 0.8
Rushing Yards (L5) +21.8% more
Chicago: 143.2 vs Philadelphia: 112.0
First Downs (L5) +16.4% more
Chicago: 20.8 vs Philadelphia: 17.4
Total Yards (L5) +12.0% more
Chicago: 366.0 vs Philadelphia: 322.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 24.0 24
PHI Score 31.0 15
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.4 / 20.8 14.0 / 28.0
Net Passing Yards 210.2 / 222.8 230.0 / 144.0
Rushing Yards 112.0 / 143.2 87.0 / 281.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.33 / 0.59
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.34 / 0.65
Total Yards 322.2 / 366.0 317.0 / 425.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 0.8 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.4 / 5.6 6.2 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -0.5
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHI
PHI
CHI
ML
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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