Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Black Knights @ Knights ARMY @ FDU

ARMY

BLACK KNIGHTSARMY

2-6  |  Road

81
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 2:00 PM ET
Bogota Savings Bank Center
View Odds Details →

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON

KNIGHTSFDU

1-6  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Black KnightsARMY (-3.5) 0 KnightsFDU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Black Knights Cover

1.4%

Knights Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)

ARMY By 1-7 points

1.1%

ARMY By 8-14 points

0.1%

FDU By 1-7 points

5.8%

FDU By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
ARMY
93
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
68
ARMY
72
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 ARMY @ FDU 81 - 73
Nov 20, 2024 FDU @ ARMY 70 - 84
Nov 18, 2019 FDU @ ARMY 65 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +188.0% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 2.5 vs Army: 0.6
Assists (L5) +37.9% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 13.9 vs Army: 10.0
Turnovers (L5) +22.3% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 15.2 vs Army: 12.5
Rebounding (L5) +16.8% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 40.6 vs Army: 34.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score 71.0 81
FDU Score 93.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 25.4 25.0 / 39.0
Assists 13.9 / 10.0 7.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.5 / 0.6 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 38.0 38.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 65.9 / 71.5 68.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 40.6 / 34.7 40.0 / 38.0
Steals 4.4 / 4.7 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 12.5 6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
FDU
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
FDU
10-18-1 (35.7%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.3
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0% Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
ARMY
FDU
ARMY
ML
65% 20-11
44% 14-18
74% 23-8
50% 16-16
ATS
68% 21-10
44% 14-18
74% 23-8
50% 16-16
TTL
58% 18-13
81% 26-6
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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