HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
4-2 | Road
72
THE CITADEL
BULLDOGSCIT
2-5 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
HUSKIES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HCU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
HCU By 1-7 points
18.6%
HCU By 8-14 points
26.8%
CIT By 1-7 points
6.8%
CIT By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
64
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
The Citadel
51
THE CITADEL
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
68
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
The Citadel
72
THE CITADEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
HCU @ CIT
72 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.2% more
Houston Christian: 8.9
vs
The Citadel: 4.4
Blocks (L5)
+40.4% more
Houston Christian: 3.5
vs
The Citadel: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+21.2% more
Houston Christian: 13.6
vs
The Citadel: 10.7
Turnovers (L5)
+16.0% more
Houston Christian: 11.8
vs
The Citadel: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
64.0
72
CIT Score
51.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.6 / 31.0
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
10.7 / 13.6
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.1 / 3.5
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 45.6
41.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
67.7 / 57.0
91.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 33.1
27.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.4 / 8.9
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 11.8
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
CIT
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
CIT
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIT
HCU
CIT
HCU
ML
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
62%
20-12
81%
25-6
ATS
62%
20-12
58%
18-13
64%
21-12
81%
26-6
TTL
53%
17-15
68%
21-10
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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