Home / NHL Projections NHL / Stars @ Kraken DAL @ SEA

DALLAS

STARSDAL

14-5-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 10:00 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

11-5-6  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
@
Joey Daccord
GOALTENDER

Joey Daccord

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Casey DeSmith None-None 2.00 0.929 --
Joey Daccord None-None 3.08 0.857 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.08
0.929 Ldr Save % 0.857
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
KRAKEN
0%
STARS --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

30.9%

Kraken Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

DAL By 1 goal

12.1%

DAL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

SEA By 1 goal

19.7%

SEA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DALLAS
4
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
DALLAS
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kraken Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kraken (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Kraken (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 SEA @ DAL 1 - 4
Nov 26, 2025 DAL @ SEA 3 - 2
Nov 9, 2025 SEA @ DAL 1 - 2
Mar 31, 2025 DAL @ SEA 3 - 1
Mar 29, 2025 DAL @ SEA 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +17.8% more
Seattle: 16.5 vs Dallas: 14.0
Takeaways (L5) +13.0% more
Seattle: 4.4 vs Dallas: 3.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +21.3% more
Dallas: 27.7 vs Seattle: 21.8
Power Play % (L5) +20.4%
Dallas: 32.7% vs Seattle: 12.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.0 3
SEA Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.5 / 14.0 8.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 45.9 / 54.4 48.9 / 51.1
Hits 15.9 / 17.7 23.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 1235.0 / 3270.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 21.8 / 27.7 28.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 3.9 4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
72%MONEY28%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
DAL
SEA
DAL
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
NHL's Earliest Start Yields Scoring Surge and Sloppy Play
observer_reporter 1 hour, 17 minutes ago
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 1 hour, 37 minutes ago
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 1 hour, 57 minutes ago
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 7 hours, 39 minutes ago
Nashville Predators' Early Season: Three Burning Questions After…
tennessean 13 hours, 37 minutes ago