BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
6-0 | Road
73
BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
2-5 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
BISON
0%
BULLS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Bucknell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUCK -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)
BUF By 1-7 points
5.8%
BUF By 8-14 points
1.4%
BUCK By 1-7 points
16.9%
BUCK By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
72
BUFFALO
Bucknell
86
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Buffalo
71
BUFFALO
Bucknell
78
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bison
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bison (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
BUF @ BUCK
73 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+59.1% more
Bucknell: 17.5
vs
Buffalo: 11.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Buffalo: 46.9%
vs
Bucknell: 39.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Buffalo: 37.4%
vs
Bucknell: 33.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Buffalo: 76.9%
vs
Bucknell: 74.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
72.0
73
BUCK Score
86.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 37.4
37.0 / 39.0
Assists
11.9 / 12.5
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.3
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.3 / 46.9
47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 76.9
58.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 32.9
35.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.7
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
17.5 / 11.0
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUF
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUF
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
BUF
BUCK
BUF
ML
55%
18-15
45%
14-17
64%
21-12
45%
14-17
ATS
45%
15-18
55%
17-14
64%
21-12
45%
14-17
TTL
61%
20-13
48%
15-16
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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