DENVER
PIONEERSDEN
2-5 | Road
59
WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
6-1 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
COWBOYS
100%
PIONEERS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEN -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
DEN By 1-7 points
20.1%
DEN By 8-14 points
27.2%
WYO By 1-7 points
8.0%
WYO By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
66
DENVER
Wyoming
54
WYOMING
Simulated Score
Denver
68
DENVER
Wyoming
72
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
DEN @ WYO
59 - 101
Dec 2, 2021
DEN @ WYO
64 - 77
Dec 9, 2020
DEN @ WYO
61 - 83
Dec 21, 2019
WYO @ DEN
72 - 66
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.3%
Denver: 41.1%
vs
Wyoming: 31.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.7%
Denver: 73.5%
vs
Wyoming: 65.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Denver: 45.6%
vs
Wyoming: 42.7%
Blocks (L5)
+134.0% more
Wyoming: 3.5
vs
Denver: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
66.0
59
WYO Score
54.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 41.1
45.0 / 12.0
Assists
17.0 / 11.7
14.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 45.6
56.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
65.7 / 73.5
71.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 28.0
44.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.5
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 11.1
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
WYO
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
17-11-1
(60.7%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6%
Total +/-: +7.0
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
DEN
WYO
DEN
ML
52%
17-16
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
59%
19-13
ATS
64%
21-12
66%
21-11
70%
23-10
59%
19-13
TTL
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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