Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Salukis @ Tigers SIU @ MEM

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

SALUKISSIU

3-4  |  Road

58
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 8:00 PM ET
FedExForum
View Odds Details →

MEMPHIS

TIGERSMEM

2-4  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
SALUKIS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
SALUKIS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Memphis)
SalukisSIU (-3.5) 0 TigersMEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Salukis Cover

0.0%

Tigers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)

SIU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SIU By 8-14 points

0.0%

MEM By 1-7 points

0.0%

MEM By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
57
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
107
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
67
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
78
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 SIU @ MEM 58 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +40.0% more
Memphis: 14.5 vs Southern Illinois: 10.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.3%
Memphis: 30.7% vs Southern Illinois: 22.4%
Steals (L5) +13.8% more
Southern Illinois: 7.3 vs Memphis: 6.3
Assists (L5) +12.1% more
Southern Illinois: 14.5 vs Memphis: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIU Score 57.0 58
MEM Score 107.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 22.4 36.0 / 13.0
Assists 12.7 / 14.5 14.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.4 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.3 / 47.9 43.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 76.2 80.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 38.0 40.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.3 / 7.3 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 10.4 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
MEM
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIU Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
MEM
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0% Total +/-: -5.5
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
SIU
MEM
SIU
ML
62% 20-12
53% 17-15
68% 21-10
47% 15-17
ATS
62% 20-12
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
47% 15-17
TTL
66% 21-11
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 6 hours, 2 minutes ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
observer_reporter 1 day, 23 hours ago
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
lsureveille 1 week ago
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…
yahoo 1 week, 2 days ago