PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
11-7-3 | Road
4
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
12-9-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.00 | 0.926 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.926
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
FLYERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
FLA By 1 goal
19.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
1
PHILADELPHIA
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
PHI @ FLA
4 - 2
Oct 13, 2025
FLA @ PHI
2 - 5
Oct 9, 2025
PHI @ FLA
1 - 2
Jan 13, 2025
FLA @ PHI
3 - 4
Dec 5, 2024
FLA @ PHI
7 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.1% more
Florida: 29.8
vs
Philadelphia: 24.6
Takeaways (L5)
+13.0% more
Florida: 5.8
vs
Philadelphia: 5.1
Power Play % (L5)
+10.7%
Florida: 13.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 2.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.2% more
Florida: 13.4
vs
Philadelphia: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
1.0
4
FLA Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 12.3
12.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
47.5 / 48.1
52.0 / 48.0
Hits
23.3 / 23.3
33.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
1324.0 / 254.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.8 / 24.6
27.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 5.1
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
PHI
FLA
PHI
ML
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
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