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TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

9-10-3  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

11-9-3  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Troy Stecher
GOALTENDER

Troy Stecher

#28 | Defense
@
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Troy Stecher None-None -- -- --
Jet Greaves None-None 1.86 0.917 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.86
-- Save % 0.917
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Columbus)
Maple LeafsTOR (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Maple Leafs Cover

2.3%

Blue Jackets Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

TOR By 1 goal

0.9%

TOR By 2-3 goals

0.3%

CBJ By 1 goal

6.6%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
TORONTO
5
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
2
TORONTO
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jackets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Blue Jackets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 TOR @ CBJ 2 - 1
Nov 20, 2025 CBJ @ TOR 3 - 2
Oct 29, 2025 TOR @ CBJ 3 - 6
Apr 5, 2025 CBJ @ TOR 0 - 5
Jan 22, 2025 CBJ @ TOR 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +52.1% more
Columbus: 4.4 vs Toronto: 2.9
Hits (L5) +25.8% more
Toronto: 23.6 vs Columbus: 17.5
Faceoff % (L5) +8.1%
Toronto: 58.0% vs Columbus: 49.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 1.0 2
CBJ Score 5.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.6 / 14.1 12.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 49.9 / 58.0 40.7 / 59.3
Hits 17.5 / 23.6 20.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 1361.0 / 1405.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.3 / 27.3 36.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 2.9 4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
67%MONEY33%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
TOR
CBJ
TOR
ML
50% 1-1
50% 2-2
100% 2-0
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 1-1
0% 0-4
50% 1-1
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 1-1
100% 4-0
0% 0-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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