HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
3-2 | Road
69
BELLARMINE
KNIGHTSBELL
3-4 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
KNIGHTS
100%
HUSKIES
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HCU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
HCU By 1-7 points
12.2%
HCU By 8-14 points
23.0%
BELL By 1-7 points
3.3%
BELL By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
78
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Bellarmine
61
BELLARMINE
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
69
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Bellarmine
73
BELLARMINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
HCU @ BELL
69 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+71.6% more
Houston Christian: 4.8
vs
Bellarmine: 1.4
Rebounding (L5)
+31.8% more
Houston Christian: 36.6
vs
Bellarmine: 25.0
Steals (L5)
+29.9% more
Houston Christian: 10.8
vs
Bellarmine: 7.6
Turnovers (L5)
+28.3% more
Houston Christian: 13.7
vs
Bellarmine: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
78.0
69
BELL Score
61.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 25.1
40.0 / 43.0
Assists
12.9 / 15.4
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.4 / 4.8
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.9 / 44.0
60.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 66.4
90.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
25.0 / 36.6
25.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.6 / 10.8
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 13.7
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
BELL
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
BELL
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +9.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BELL
HCU
BELL
HCU
ML
72%
23-9
68%
21-10
94%
29-2
81%
25-6
ATS
72%
23-9
58%
18-13
94%
29-2
81%
26-6
TTL
50%
16-16
68%
21-10
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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