NORTH DAKOTA STATE
BISONNDSU
4-2 | Road
56
JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
3-2 | Home
43
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
GAMECOCKS
0%
BISON
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JXST -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
NDSU By 1-7 points
3.3%
NDSU By 8-14 points
0.6%
JXST By 1-7 points
12.2%
JXST By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
North Dakota State
69
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Jacksonville State
86
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
North Dakota State
68
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Jacksonville State
73
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
NDSU @ JXST
56 - 43
Nov 27, 2022
NDSU @ JXST
71 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+25.6% more
Jacksonville State: 40.8
vs
North Dakota State: 32.4
Blocks (L5)
+22.3% more
Jacksonville State: 3.8
vs
North Dakota State: 3.1
Steals (L5)
+46.0% more
North Dakota State: 11.4
vs
Jacksonville State: 6.2
Assists (L5)
+26.5% more
North Dakota State: 19.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NDSU Score
69.0
56
JXST Score
86.0
43
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 39.9
19.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.9 / 19.0
9.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 50.8
26.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
58.1 / 80.8
57.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 32.4
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.2 / 11.4
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 11.6
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NDSU
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NDSU
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
NDSU
JXST
NDSU
ML
50%
16-16
49%
17-18
55%
17-14
59%
20-14
ATS
62%
20-12
54%
19-16
55%
17-14
59%
20-14
TTL
62%
20-12
43%
15-20
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
