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SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

0-6  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 8:00 PM ET
Mizzou Arena
View Odds Details →

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

6-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
BULLDOGS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Missouri)
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 TigersMIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

21.2%

Tigers Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIZ -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)

SCST By 1-7 points

13.7%

SCST By 8-14 points

4.8%

MIZ By 1-7 points

25.3%

MIZ By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
61
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
69
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
58
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
85
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 SCST @ MIZ 66 - 98
Nov 22, 2023 SCST @ MIZ 59 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.4% more
Missouri: 16.3 vs South Carolina State: 12.5
Field Goal % (L5) +18.2%
Missouri: 57.3% vs South Carolina State: 39.1%
Rebounding (L5) +18.1% more
Missouri: 39.0 vs South Carolina State: 33.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.4%
Missouri: 46.2% vs South Carolina State: 36.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 61.0 66
MIZ Score 69.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 46.2 / 36.7 28.0 / 19.0
Assists 16.3 / 12.5 19.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.6 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 57.3 / 39.1 52.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 72.1 / 68.8 77.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 33.0 46.0 / 26.0
Steals 8.8 / 8.8 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 14.0 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
MIZ Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
MIZ
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
SCST
MIZ
SCST
ML
61% 20-13
61% 19-12
69% 22-10
74% 20-7
ATS
70% 23-10
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
74% 20-7
TTL
79% 26-7
52% 16-15
100% 32-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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